Discrepancy Between Achieved and Vendor-Predicted Ablation Zones in the Lung: Contributing Factors.

PURPOSE: Several factors are known to affect lung ablation zones. Questions remain as to why there are discrepancies between achieved and vendor-predicted ablation zones and what contributing factors can be modified to balance therapeutic effects with avoidance of complications. This retrospective study of lung tumour microwave ablation analyses day 1 post-treatment CT to assess the effects of lesion-specific and operator-dependent factors on ablation zones. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Consecutive patients treated at a tertiary centre from 2018 to 2021 were included. All ablations were performed using a single microwave ablation device under lung isolation. The lung tumours were categorised as primary or secondary, and their "resistance" to ablation was graded according to their locations. Intraprocedural pulmonary inflation was assessed as equal to or less than the contralateral non-isolated lung. Ablation energy was categorised as high, medium, or low. Ablation zone dimensions were measured on day 1 CT and compared to vendor reference charts. Ablations with multiple needle positions or indeterminate boundaries were excluded. RESULTS: A total of 47 lesions in 31 patients were analysed. Achieved long axes are longer than predicted by 5 mm or 14% (p < 0.01) without overall short axis discrepancy. Secondary tumours (p = 0.020), low-resistance location (p < 0.01), good lung inflation (p < 0.01), low (p = 0.003) and medium (p = 0.038) total energy produce lengthened long axes by 4-6 mm or 10-19%. High total energy results in shorter than predicated short axes by 6 mm or 18% (p = 0.010). CONCLUSION: We identified several factors affecting ablation zone dimensions which may have implications for ablation planning and the avoidance of complications.

Imaging of Pulmonary Sarcoidosis-A Review.

Sarcoidosis is the classic multisystem granulomatous disease. First reported as a disorder of the skin, it is now clear that, in the overwhelming majority of patients with sarcoidosis, the lungs will bear the brunt of the disease. This review explores some of the key concepts in the imaging of pulmonary sarcoidosis: the wide array of typical (and some of the less common) findings on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) are reviewed and, with this, the concept of morphologic/HRCT phenotypes is discussed. The pathophysiologic insights provided by HRCT through studies where morphologic abnormalities and pulmonary function tests are compared are evaluated. Finally, this review outlines the important contribution of HRCT to disease monitoring and prognostication.

Low bleeding rates following transbronchial lung cryobiopsy in unclassifiable interstitial lung disease.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Bronchoscopic transbronchial lung cryobiopsy (TBLC) is a guideline-endorsed alternative to surgical lung biopsy for tissue diagnosis in unclassifiable interstitial lung disease (ILD). The reported incidence of post-procedural bleeding has varied widely. We aimed to characterize the incidence, severity and risk factors for clinically significant bleeding following TBLC using an expert-consensus airway bleeding scale, in addition to other complications and diagnostic yield. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of consecutive adult outpatients with unclassifiable ILD who underwent TBLC following multidisciplinary discussion at a single centre in the UK between July 2016 and December 2021. TBLC was performed under general anaesthesia with fluoroscopic guidance and a prophylactic endobronchial balloon. RESULTS: One hundred twenty-six patients underwent TBLC (68.3% male; mean age 62.7 years; FVC 86.2%; DLCO 54.5%). Significant bleeding requiring balloon blocker reinflation for >20 min, admission to ICU, packed red blood cell transfusion, bronchial artery embolization, resuscitation or procedural abandonment, occurred in 10 cases (7.9%). Significant bleeding was associated with traction bronchiectasis on HRCT (OR 7.1, CI 1.1-59.1, p = 0.042), a TBLC histological pattern of UIP (OR 4.0, CI 1.1-14, p = 0.046) and the presence of medium-large vessels on histology (OR 37.3, CI 6.5-212, p < 0.001). BMI ≥30 (p = 0.017) and traction bronchiectasis on HRCT (p = 0.025) were significant multivariate predictors of longer total bleeding time (p = 0.017). Pneumothorax occurred in nine cases (7.1%) and the 30-day mortality was 0%. Diagnostic yield was 80.6%. CONCLUSION: TBLC has an acceptable safety profile in experienced hands. Radiological traction bronchiectasis and obesity increase the risk of significant bleeding following TBLC.

Overnight desaturation in interstitial lung diseases: links to pulmonary vasculopathy and mortality.

Background: Overnight desaturation predicts poor prognosis across interstitial lung diseases (ILDs). The aim of the present study was to investigate whether nocturnal desaturation is associated with pulmonary vasculopathy and mortality. Methods: A retrospective single centre study of 397 new ILD patients was carried out including patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) (n=107) and patients with non-IPF fibrotic ILD (n=290). This is the largest study to date of the effect of significant nocturnal desaturation (SND) (≥10% of total sleep time with oxygen saturation ≤90% measured by pulse oximetry). Results: The prevalence of SND was 28/107 (26.2%) in IPF and 80/290 (27.6%) in non-IPF ILD. The prevalence of SND was higher in non-IPF ILDs than in IPF (p=0.025) in multivariate analysis. SND was associated with noninvasive markers of pulmonary hypertension (PH): tricuspid regurgitation velocity (TRV) (p<0.0001), brain natriuretic peptide (p<0.007), carbon monoxide transfer coefficient (p<0.0001), A-a gradient (p<0.0001), desaturation >4% in 6-min walking test (p<0.03) and pulmonary artery diameter (p<0.005). SND was independently associated with high echocardiographic PH probability in the entire cohort (OR 2.865, 95% CI 1.486-5.522, p<0.002) and in non-IPF fibrotic ILD (OR 3.492, 95% CI 1.597-7.636, p<0.002) in multivariate analysis. In multivariate analysis, SND was associated with mortality in the entire cohort (OR 1.734, 95% CI 1.202-2.499, p=0.003) and in IPF (OR 1.908, 95% CI 1.120-3.251, p=0.017) and non-IPF fibrotic ILD (OR 1.663, 95% CI 1.000-2.819, p=0.041). Separate models with exclusion of each one of the diagnostic subgroups showed that no subgroup was responsible for this finding in non-IPF ILDs. SND was a stronger marker of 5-year mortality than markers of PH. Conclusion: SND was associated with high echocardiographic probability and mortality and was a stronger predictor of mortality in IPF and non-IPF ILDs grouped together to power the study.

Diagnosis of cystic lung diseases: a position statement from the UK Cystic Lung Disease Rare Disease Collaborative Network.

BACKGROUND: Rare cystic lung diseases are increasingly recognised due the wider application of CT scanning making cystic lung disease management a growing part of respiratory care. Cystic lung diseases tend to have extrapulmonary features that can both be diagnostic but also require surveillance and treatment in their own right. As some of these diseases now have specific treatments, making a precise diagnosis is crucial. While Langerhans cell histiocytosis, Birt-Hogg-Dubé syndrome, lymphoid interstitial pneumonia and lymphangioleiomyomatosis are becoming relatively well-known diseases to respiratory physicians, a targeted and thorough workup improves diagnostic accuracy and may suggest other ultrarare diseases such as light chain deposition disease, cystic pulmonary amyloidosis, low-grade metastatic neoplasms or infections. In many cases, diagnostic information is overlooked leaving uncertainty over the disease course and treatments. AIMS: This position statement from the Rare Disease Collaborative Network for cystic lung diseases will review how clinical, radiological and physiological features can be used to differentiate between these diseases. NARRATIVE: We highlight that in many cases a multidisciplinary diagnosis can be made without the need for lung biopsy and discuss where tissue sampling is necessary when non-invasive methods leave diagnostic doubt. We suggest an initial workup focusing on points in the history which identify key disease features, underlying systemic and familial diseases and a clinical examination to search for connective tissue disease and features of genetic causes of lung cysts. All patients should have a CT of the thorax and abdomen to characterise the pattern and burden of lung cysts and extrapulmonary features and also spirometry, gas transfer and a 6 min walk test. Discussion with a rare cystic lung disease centre is suggested before a surgical biopsy is undertaken. CONCLUSIONS: We suggest that this focused workup should be performed in all people with multiple lung cysts and would streamline referral pathways, help guide early treatment, management decisions, improve patient experience and reduce overall care costs. It could also potentially catalyse a national research database to describe these less well-understood and unidentified diseases, categorise disease phenotypes and outcomes, potentially leading to better prognostic data and generating a stronger platform to understand specific disease biology.

High-resolution CT phenotypes in pulmonary sarcoidosis: a multinational Delphi consensus study.

One view of sarcoidosis is that the term covers many different diseases. However, no classification framework exists for the future exploration of pathogenetic pathways, genetic or trigger predilections, patterns of lung function impairment, or treatment separations, or for the development of diagnostic algorithms or relevant outcome measures. We aimed to establish agreement on high-resolution CT (HRCT) phenotypic separations in sarcoidosis to anchor future CT research through a multinational two-round Delphi consensus process. Delphi participants included members of the Fleischner Society and the World Association of Sarcoidosis and other Granulomatous Disorders, as well as members' nominees. 146 individuals (98 chest physicians, 48 thoracic radiologists) from 28 countries took part, 144 of whom completed both Delphi rounds. After rating of 35 Delphi statements on a five-point Likert scale, consensus was achieved for 22 (63%) statements. There was 97% agreement on the existence of distinct HRCT phenotypes, with seven HRCT phenotypes that were categorised by participants as non-fibrotic or likely to be fibrotic. The international consensus reached in this Delphi exercise justifies the formulation of a CT classification as a basis for the possible definition of separate diseases. Further refinement of phenotypes with rapidly achievable CT studies is now needed to underpin the development of a formal classification of sarcoidosis.

Radiomics-based decision support tool assists radiologists in small lung nodule classification and improves lung cancer early diagnosis.

BACKGROUND: Methods to improve stratification of small (≤15 mm) lung nodules are needed. We aimed to develop a radiomics model to assist lung cancer diagnosis. METHODS: Patients were retrospectively identified using health records from January 2007 to December 2018. The external test set was obtained from the national LIBRA study and a prospective Lung Cancer Screening programme. Radiomics features were extracted from multi-region CT segmentations using TexLab2.0. LASSO regression generated the 5-feature small nodule radiomics-predictive-vector (SN-RPV). K-means clustering was used to split patients into risk groups according to SN-RPV. Model performance was compared to 6 thoracic radiologists. SN-RPV and radiologist risk groups were combined to generate "Safety-Net" and "Early Diagnosis" decision-support tools. RESULTS: In total, 810 patients with 990 nodules were included. The AUC for malignancy prediction was 0.85 (95% CI: 0.82-0.87), 0.78 (95% CI: 0.70-0.85) and 0.78 (95% CI: 0.59-0.92) for the training, test and external test datasets, respectively. The test set accuracy was 73% (95% CI: 65-81%) and resulted in 66.67% improvements in potentially missed [8/12] or delayed [6/9] cancers, compared to the radiologist with performance closest to the mean of six readers. CONCLUSIONS: SN-RPV may provide net-benefit in terms of earlier cancer diagnosis.

Combination of BAL and Computed Tomography Differentiates Progressive and Non-progressive Fibrotic Lung Diseases.

Rationale: Identifying patients with pulmonary fibrosis (PF) at risk of progression can guide management. Objectives: To explore the utility of combining baseline BAL and computed tomography (CT) in differentiating progressive and nonprogressive PF. Methods: The derivation cohort consisted of incident cases of PF for which BAL was performed as part of a diagnostic workup. A validation cohort was prospectively recruited with identical inclusion criteria. Baseline thoracic CT scans were scored for the extent of fibrosis and usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) pattern. The BAL lymphocyte proportion was recorded. Annualized FVC decrease of >10% or death within 1 year was used to define disease progression. Multivariable logistic regression identified the determinants of the outcome. The optimum binary thresholds (maximal Wilcoxon rank statistic) at which the extent of fibrosis on CT and the BAL lymphocyte proportion could distinguish disease progression were identified. Measurements and Main Results: BAL lymphocyte proportion, UIP pattern, and fibrosis extent were significantly and independently associated with disease progression in the derivation cohort (n = 240). Binary thresholds for increased BAL lymphocyte proportion and extensive fibrosis were identified as 25% and 20%, respectively. An increased BAL lymphocyte proportion was rare in patients with a UIP pattern (8 of 135; 5.9%) or with extensive fibrosis (7 of 144; 4.9%). In the validation cohort (n = 290), an increased BAL lymphocyte proportion was associated with a significantly lower probability of disease progression in patients with nonextensive fibrosis or a non-UIP pattern. Conclusions: BAL lymphocytosis is rare in patients with extensive fibrosis or a UIP pattern on CT. In patients without a UIP pattern or with limited fibrosis, a BAL lymphocyte proportion of ⩾25% was associated with a lower likelihood of progression.

A Comparison of Long-Term Outcomes in Patients Managed With Venovenous Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation in the First and Second Waves of the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United Kingdom.

OBJECTIVES: Early studies of venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) in COVID-19 have revealed similar outcomes to historical cohorts. Changes in the disease and treatments have led to differences in the patients supported on venovenous ECMO in the first and second waves. We aimed to compare these two groups in both the acute and follow-up phase. DESIGN: Retrospective single-center cohort study comparing mortality at censoring date (November 30, 2021) and decannulation, patient characteristics, complications and lung function and quality of life (QOL-by European Quality of Life 5 Dimensions 3 Level Version) at first follow-up in patients supported on venovenous ECMO between wave 1 and wave 2 of the COVID-19 pandemic. SETTING: Critical care department of a severe acute respiratory failure service. PATIENTS: Patients supported on ECMO for COVID-19 between wave 1 (March 17, 2020, to August 31, 2020) and wave 2 (January 9, 2020, to May 25, 2021). INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: One hundred twenty-three patients were included in our analysis. Survival at censoring date (χ 2 , 6.35; p = 0.012) and decannulation (90.4% vs 70.0%; p < 0.001) was significantly lower in the second wave, while duration of ECMO run was longer (12.0 d [18.0-30.0 d] vs 29.5 d [15.5-58.3 d]; p = 0.005). Wave 2 patients had longer application of noninvasive ventilation (NIV) prior to ECMO and a higher frequency of barotrauma. Patient age and NIV use were independently associated with increased mortality (odds ratio 1.07 [1.01-1.14]; p = 0.025 and 3.37 [1.12-12.60]; p = 0.043, respectively). QOL and lung function apart from transfer coefficient of carbon monoxide corrected for hemoglobin was similar at follow-up across the waves. CONCLUSIONS: Most patients with COVID-19 supported on ECMO in both waves survived in the short and longer term. At follow-up patients had similar lung function and QOL across the two waves. This suggests that ECMO has an ongoing role in the management of a carefully selected group of patients with COVID-19.

COVID-19 Associated Pulmonary Aspergillosis in Patients on Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation Treatment-A Retrospective Study.

BACKGROUND: The incidence and outcome of pulmonary aspergillosis in coronavirus disease (COVID-19) patients on extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) are unknown and have not been fully addressed. We investigated the incidence, risk factors and outcome of pulmonary aspergillosis in COVID-19 ECMO patients. In addition, the diagnostic utility of bronchoalveolar lavage fluid and CT scans in this setting were assessed. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study on incidence and outcome of pulmonary aspergillosis in COVID-19 ECMO patients by reviewing clinical, radiological, and mycological evidence. These patients were admitted to a tertiary cardiothoracic centre during the early COVID-19 surge between March 2020 and January 2021. Results and measurements: The study included 88 predominantly male COVID-19 ECMO patients with a median age and a BMI of 48 years and 32 kg/m2, respectively. Pulmonary aspergillosis incidence was 10% and was associated with very high mortality. Patients with an Aspergillus infection were almost eight times more likely to die compared with those without infection in multivariate analysis (OR 7.81, 95% CI: 1.20-50.68). BALF GM correlated well with culture results, with a Kappa value of 0.8 (95% CI: 0.6, 1.0). However, serum galactomannan (GM) and serum (1-3)-ß-D-glucan (BDG) lacked sensitivity. Thoracic computed tomography (CT) diagnostic utility was also inconclusive, showing nonspecific ground glass opacities in almost all patients. CONCLUSIONS: In COVID-19 ECMO patients, pulmonary aspergillosis incidence was 10% and associated with very high mortality. Our results support the role of BALF in the diagnosis of pulmonary aspergillosis in COVID-19 ECMO patients. However, the diagnostic utility of BDG, serum GM, and CT scans is unclear.

Pulmonary hypertension: the hallmark of acute COVID-19 microvascular angiopathy?

In situ pulmonary arterial thrombosis in COVID-19 is not visible on CTPA. However, the presence of CT-measured right heart and pulmonary artery dilatation in COVID-19 is likely attributable to this process and may be a possible surrogate for its detection. https://bit.ly/3g7z5TV.

COVID-protected pathways for image-guided lung cancer intervention during the COVID-19 pandemic: A cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the experience of COVID-protected and mixed cohort pathways in COVID-19 transmission at a tertiary referral hospital for elective CT-guided lung biopsy and ablation during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: From September 2020 to August 2021, patients admitted for elective thoracic intervention were treated at a tertiary hospital (Site 1). Site 1 received patients for extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) and invasive ventilation in the treatment of COVID-19. Shared imaging, theater, and hallway facilities were used.From April 2020 to August 2020, patients admitted for elective thoracic intervention were treated at a COVID-protected hospital (Site 2). No patients with suspected or confirmed COVID-19 were treated at Site 2.Patients were surveyed for clinical and laboratory signs of COVID-19 infection up to 30 days post-procedure. RESULTS: At Sites 1 and 2, patients (2.4%) were tested positive for COVID-19 at 10 and 14 days post-procedure.At Site 2, there were no COVID-19 positive cases within 30 days of undergoing elective thoracic intervention. CONCLUSION: A mixed-site method for infection control could represent a pragmatic approach to the management of elective procedures during the COVID-19 pandemic or for similar illnesses. ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE: Mixed-cohort infection control is possible in the prevention of nosocomial COVID-19 infection.

Dual-energy Computed Tomographic Pulmonary Angiography Accurately Estimates Lobar Perfusion Before Lung Volume Reduction for Severe Emphysema.

PURPOSE: To assess if dual-energy computed tomographic pulmonary angiography (DECTPA) derived lobar iodine quantification can provide an accurate estimate of lobar perfusion in patients with severe emphysema, and offer an adjunct to single-photon emission CT perfusion scintigraphy (SPECT-PS) in assessing suitability for lung volume reduction (LVR). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with severe emphysema (forced expiratory volume in 1 s <49% predicted) undergoing evaluation for LVR between May 2018 and April 2020 imaged with both SPECT-PS and DECTPA were included in this retrospective study. DECTPA perfused blood volume maps were automatically segmented and lobar iodine mass was estimated and compared with lobar technetium (Tc99m) distribution acquired with SPECT-PS. Pearson correlation and Bland-Altman analysis were used for intermodality comparison between DECTPA and SPECT-PS. Univariate and adjusted multivariate linear regression were modelled to ascertain the effect sizes of possible confounders of disease severity, sex, age, and body mass index on the relationship between lobar iodine and Tc99m values. Effective radiation dose and adverse reactions were recorded. RESULTS: In all, 123 patients (64.5±8.8 y, 71 men; mean predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 s 32.1 ±12.7%,) were eligible for inclusion. There was a linear relationship between lobar perfusion values acquired using DECTPA and SPECT-PS with statistical significance ( P <0.001). Lobar relative perfusion values acquired using DECTPA and SPECT-PS had a consistent relationship both by linear regression and Bland-Altman analysis (mean bias, -0.01, mean r2 0.64; P <0.0001). Individual lobar comparisons demonstrated moderate correlation ( r =0.79, 0.78, 0.84, 0.78, 0.8 for the right upper, middle, lower, left upper, and lower lobes, respectively, P <0.0001). The relationship between lobar iodine and Tc99m values was not significantly altered after controlling for confounders including symptom and disease severity, age, sex, and body mass index. CONCLUSIONS: DECTPA provides an accurate estimation of lobar perfusion, showing good agreement with SPECT-PS and could potentially streamline preoperative assessment for LVR.

A persistent neutrophil-associated immune signature characterizes post-COVID-19 pulmonary sequelae.

Interstitial lung disease and associated fibrosis occur in a proportion of individuals who have recovered from severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection through unknown mechanisms. We studied individuals with severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) after recovery from acute illness. Individuals with evidence of interstitial lung changes at 3 to 6 months after recovery had an up-regulated neutrophil-associated immune signature including increased chemokines, proteases, and markers of neutrophil extracellular traps that were detectable in the blood. Similar pathways were enriched in the upper airway with a concomitant increase in antiviral type I interferon signaling. Interaction analysis of the peripheral phosphoproteome identified enriched kinases critical for neutrophil inflammatory pathways. Evaluation of these individuals at 12 months after recovery indicated that a subset of the individuals had not yet achieved full normalization of radiological and functional changes. These data provide insight into mechanisms driving development of pulmonary sequelae during and after COVID-19 and provide a rational basis for development of targeted approaches to prevent long-term complications.

Imaging of Lung Disease Associated with Connective Tissue Disease.

There is a well-known association between the connective tissue disorders (CTDs) and lung disease. In addition to interstitial lung disease, the CTDs may affect the air spaces and pulmonary vasculature. Imaging tests are important not only in diagnosis but also in management of these complex disorders. In the present review, key aspects of the imaging of CTD-reated diseases are discussed.

Lung cancer screening provides an opportunity for early diagnosis and treatment of interstitial lung disease.

Interstitial lung abnormalities (ILA) can be incidentally detected in patients undergoing low-dose CT screening for lung cancer. In this retrospective study, we explore the downstream impact of ILA detection on interstitial lung disease (ILD) diagnosis and treatment. Using a targeted approach in a lung cancer screening programme, the rate of de novo ILD diagnosis was 1.5%. The extent of abnormality on CT and severity of lung function impairment, but not symptoms were the most important factors in differentiating ILA from ILD. Disease modifying therapies were commenced in 39% of ILD cases, the majority being antifibrotic therapy for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

Immuno-proteomic profiling reveals aberrant immune cell regulation in the airways of individuals with ongoing post-COVID-19 respiratory disease.

Some patients hospitalized with acute COVID-19 suffer respiratory symptoms that persist for many months. We delineated the immune-proteomic landscape in the airways and peripheral blood of healthy controls and post-COVID-19 patients 3 to 6 months after hospital discharge. Post-COVID-19 patients showed abnormal airway (but not plasma) proteomes, with an elevated concentration of proteins associated with apoptosis, tissue repair, and epithelial injury versus healthy individuals. Increased numbers of cytotoxic lymphocytes were observed in individuals with greater airway dysfunction, while increased B cell numbers and altered monocyte subsets were associated with more widespread lung abnormalities. A one-year follow-up of some post-COVID-19 patients indicated that these abnormalities resolved over time. In summary, COVID-19 causes a prolonged change to the airway immune landscape in those with persistent lung disease, with evidence of cell death and tissue repair linked to the ongoing activation of cytotoxic T cells.

Short-term lung function changes predict mortality in patients with fibrotic hypersensitivity pneumonitis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: A proportion of patients with fibrotic hypersensitivity pneumonitis (fHP) follow a progressive disease course despite immunosuppressive treatment. Little is known about predictors of mortality in fHP. We aimed to investigate the impact of short-term lung function changes in fHP on mortality. METHODS: Baseline demographics for 145 consecutive patients with a multi-disciplinary team diagnosis of fHP, as well as baseline and 1-year follow-up of lung function, baseline echocardiographic findings, bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) cellularity and all-cause mortality were recorded. Changes in forced vital capacity (FVC) ≥ 5% and ≥10%, and diffusion capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLCO) ≥ 10% and ≥15% at 1 year were calculated. Cox proportional hazards analysis was performed to test for associations with mortality. RESULTS: Baseline lung function severity, age, presence of honeycombing on computed tomography (CT) and echocardiographic pulmonary arterial systolic pressure (PASP) ≥ 40 mm Hg were associated with early mortality, while BAL lymphocytosis was associated with improved survival. A decline in FVC ≥ 5% (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.10, 95% CI: 2.00-4.81, p < 0.001), FVC ≥ 10% (HR: 3.11, 95% CI: 1.94-4.99, p < 0.001), DLCO ≥ 10% (HR: 2.80, 95% CI: 1.78-4.42, p < 0.001) and DLCO ≥ 15% (HR: 2.92, 95% CI: 1.18-4.72, p < 0.001) at 1 year was associated with markedly reduced survival on univariable and multivariable analyses after correcting for demographic variables, disease severity, honeycombing on CT and treatment, as well as BAL lymphocytosis and PASP ≥ 40 mm Hg on echocardiography, in separate models. CONCLUSION: Worsening in FVC and DLCO at 1 year, including a marginal decline in FVC ≥ 5% and DLCO ≥ 10%, is predictive of markedly reduced survival in fHP.

Serial decline in lung volume parameters on computed tomography (CT) predicts outcome in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF).

OBJECTIVES: In patients with IPF, this study aimed (i) to examine the relationship between serial change in CT parameters of lung volume and lung function, (ii) to identify the prognostic value of serial change in CT parameters of lung volume, and (iii) to define a threshold for serial change in CT markers of lung volume that optimally captures disease progression. METHODS: Serial CTs were analysed for progressive volume loss or fibrosis progression in 81 IPF patients (66 males, median age = 67 years) with concurrent forced vital capacity (FVC) (median follow-up 12 months, range 6-23 months). Serial CT measurements of volume loss comprised oblique fissure posterior retraction distance (OFPRD), aortosternal distance (ASD), lung height corrected for body habitus (LH), and automated CT-derived total lung volumes (ALV) (measured using commercially available software). Fibrosis progression was scored visually. Serial changes in CT markers and FVC were compared using regression analysis, and evaluated against mortality using Cox proportional hazards. RESULTS: There were 58 deaths (72%, median survival = 17 months). Annual % change in ALV was most significantly related to annual % change in FVC (R2 = 0.26, p < 0.0001). On multivariate analysis, annual % change in ASD predicted mortality (HR = 0.97, p < 0.001), whereas change in FVC did not. A 25% decline in annual % change in ASD best predicted mortality, superior to 10% decline in FVC and fibrosis progression. CONCLUSION: In IPF, serial decline in CT markers of lung volume and, specifically, annualised 25% reduction in aortosternal distance provides evidence of disease progression, not always identified by FVC trends or changes in fibrosis extent. KEY POINTS: • Serial decline in automated and surrogate markers of lung volume on CT corresponds to changes in FVC. • Annualised reductions in the distance between ascending aorta and posterior border of the sternum on CT predict mortality beyond annualised percentage change in FVC.